How Tinubu’s Administration Is Approaching the Auto Sector

The Tinubu administration has treated the automotive sector as both an industrial opportunity and a practical response to high fuel costs. Its approach combines support for local assembly, preferential government procurement, tariff adjustments, and a strong push toward compressed natural gas and electric mobility. The results so far show clear direction mixed with the familiar tension between protecting domestic production and easing the cost of vehicles for ordinary buyers.A central plank is the Nigeria First policy applied to vehicle procurement. Ministries, departments and agencies are directed to prioritise vehicles assembled in Nigeria when making purchases. The National Automotive Design and Development Council and the Bureau of Public Procurement have formalised this preference so that public spending creates guaranteed demand for local plants. Because government fleets represent a sizable slice of new-vehicle purchases, consistent implementation can give assemblers a more predictable order book and help justify further investment.

At the same time the administration has moved to give the National Automotive Industry Development Plan stronger legal footing. Officials have repeatedly stated that investors need policy certainty before committing large sums to assembly lines and component plants. Legislative backing for the plan is presented as the way to lock in tariff structures, local-content targets and incentives beyond the life of any single administration. Progress on that front remains a key demand of the manufacturers’ association.Tariff policy in 2026 has been more complex. Import duties on new vehicles were reduced from 20 per cent to 10 per cent and on used vehicles from 15 per cent to 5 per cent. A green surcharge was introduced on larger-engine vehicles while certain cleaner categories received relief. The stated aim was to lower the landed cost of cars for consumers facing high prices after naira depreciation and the removal of fuel subsidies. Local assemblers, however, warned that narrowing the duty gap between fully built-up imports and locally assembled vehicles weakens the protection they need to reach scale. The government has left room for further adjustment while insisting that affordability and industrial development must advance together.

Cleaner fuels form another major strand. The Presidential Initiative on Compressed Natural Gas has been expanded to include electric vehicles. Import duty and VAT waivers have been granted for fully CNG-powered vehicles, pure electric vehicles, certain extended-range electrics, conversion kits and related equipment. The logic is straightforward: Nigeria has substantial gas reserves, petrol prices remain elevated, and converting commercial fleets to CNG or introducing electric options can reduce operating costs for transporters and ease pressure on household budgets. Conversion centres, refuelling stations and pilot electric buses have been rolled out as visible proof of the policy.

Financing remains the weakest link. Locally assembled vehicles are still expensive relative to average incomes, and formal vehicle loans reach only a small fraction of buyers. Officials have acknowledged the need for credit-guarantee schemes, single-digit interest facilities and other mechanisms that would make Nigerian-assembled cars more accessible. Without progress on affordability, public procurement preferences alone cannot lift capacity utilisation at the country’s under-used assembly plants.The overall approach therefore contains three concurrent tracks. The first is demand support for local assembly through government buying and the push for a legislated industrial plan. The second is tariff and fiscal adjustment aimed at moderating consumer prices, even when that creates short-term tension with protection for assemblers. The third is a deliberate shift toward CNG and electric options as part of the broader response to fuel-price reform and energy transition.

Critics note that capacity utilisation at many plants remains very low and that used imports continue to dominate private purchases. Supporters point to the procurement rules, the cleaner-fuel incentives and the stated commitment to policy stability as necessary foundations. For the administration the auto sector is not treated as an isolated industry file. It is linked to job creation, foreign-exchange conservation, reduced fuel-import pressure and the political need to cushion the impact of economic reforms. How consistently the protective, affordability and clean-mobility pieces are kept in balance will determine whether the current approach delivers a stronger domestic industry or simply a more complicated import regime.

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